The Graph (GRT) Price Forecast for End of 2025: Comprehensive Analysis and Insights
The material in this article is intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risk.
Introduction
The Graph (GRT) is a decentralized indexing protocol that enables efficient querying of blockchain data via “subgraphs” (open APIs). It supports networks like Ethereum, IPFS, and others, powering DeFi and Web3 applications such as Uniswap, Synthetix, Aave, and DAO platforms. GRT, an ERC-20 “work token,” is staked by Indexers, Curators, and Delegators to secure and maintain the network. As of mid-2025, ~10–10.5 billion GRT tokens are circulating, with a market cap of ~$0.9–1.0 billion. The token price is around $0.09 in late August 2025, reflecting modest volatility and a neutral-to-cautious market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index ~43/100). This article provides a detailed outlook for GRT’s price by the end of 2025, examining bullish and bearish scenarios, growth drivers, and risks. coinmarketcap.com, thegraph.com
Current Situation
GRT is priced at ~$0.09, with a market cap of ~$944M and 10.46B circulating tokens as of August 26, 2025. Over the past month, it has shown 10–11% volatility, with a 50-day SMA of $0.091 (flat) and a 200-day SMA of $0.16, indicating mixed technical signals. The Fear and Greed Index at 43 reflects cautious sentiment amid a crypto-wide risk-off mood driven by Fed uncertainty and Bitcoin volatility. Technical indicators are neutral: RSI at 48–51 and MACD flat, with support near $0.085 and resistance at $0.094–$0.096. GRT’s short-term outlook remains cautious, trading near key moving averages without strong momentum or severe sell pressure. coinmarketcap.com, coincodex.com, binance.com
Price Predictions for End of 2025
Analyst forecasts for GRT by December 2025 vary widely. Below are the key scenarios:
- Bearish Scenario: A 30–40% market correction could push GRT to $0.07–$0.09, with a break below $0.085 potentially targeting $0.075, as per CoinMarketCap and CoinCheckup. coinmarketcap.com, coincheckup.com
- Moderate Scenario: Stable market conditions could see GRT trading between $0.10 and $0.14, with CoinCodex forecasting an annualized average of ~$0.108 (+49% from current levels) and Binance projecting a high of $0.138. coincodex.com, binance.com
- Bullish Scenario: A strong DeFi/NFT bull market could drive GRT to ~$0.28 or higher, with CryptoAndWorld citing a potential peak of $0.418 if Web3 adoption and ETF flows surge. binance.com
Consensus range: $0.07–$0.15, with an average of $0.10–$0.14, though outlier projections reach $0.42 in extreme bullish cases. coincodex.com, binance.com
Factors Driving Price Growth
- Web3 Adoption: The Graph’s role as a core indexing protocol benefits from growing DeFi, NFT, and Web3 usage, with over 70,000 hosted subgraphs and 1.23 trillion queries served. binance.com, messari.io
- Substreams Upgrade: Mid-2025’s Substreams rollout reduced indexing times (e.g., 72× faster for Uniswap v3 subgraphs), attracting developers and boosting query fees. thegraph.com
- Crypto Market Rally Potential: A Bitcoin-led rally above $100K could lift GRT, with analysts noting a break above $0.096 targeting $0.10–$0.12. coinmarketcap.com
- Ecosystem Partnerships: Integrations with Ethereum, Arbitrum, Polkadot, and platforms like Uniswap and Aave strengthen GRT’s utility. coinbase.com
- Community & Staking: Over 9,000 participants stake GRT, with a 5.3% QoQ increase in allocated stake in Q2 2025, supporting network growth. messari.io
Risks and Downside Factors
- Market Volatility: GRT is sensitive to crypto-wide swings, with an 8–11% QoQ dip in August 2025 tied to Fed rate fears and Bitcoin selling. A drop below $0.085 could target $0.075. coinmarketcap.com
- Competition: Emerging indexing solutions or alternative data protocols on L2 platforms could erode The Graph’s market share. cryptonews.com
- Adoption Uncertainty: Slower DeFi/NFT growth or reduced subgraph creation could limit query fee revenue, impacting GRT’s value. messari.io
- Regulatory/Infrastructure Risks: Regulatory changes or smart contract vulnerabilities could disrupt partnerships or token economics. coindesk.com
Volatility and Technical Outlook
GRT’s 30-day volatility in summer 2025 was 7–10%, with prices ranging from $0.096 (mid-August high) to $0.087–$0.090 by late August. The RSI (~mid-40s) and neutral MACD indicate mixed signals, with GRT near its 7- and 50-day moving averages. Support lies at $0.085, with resistance at $0.092–$0.096. A break above $0.096 could target $0.10–$0.12, while a drop below $0.085 may test $0.075–$0.078. GRT’s 365-day decline (~45%) reflects tokenomics skepticism, but its role in the altcoin rebound trend suggests potential upside if catalysts emerge. coinmarketcap.com, binance.com
Conclusion
By the end of 2025, GRT is projected to trade between $0.10 and $0.15 under baseline conditions, with potential to reach $0.20–$0.30 (or $0.42 in extreme bullish cases) in a Web3-driven bull market. A market slump could push GRT to $0.07–$0.08. Growth drivers include rising subgraph usage, Substreams upgrades, and ecosystem integrations, but risks like volatility, competition, and regulatory shifts remain. Investors should conduct thorough research and exercise caution due to GRT’s volatility and speculative long-term forecasts. For more details, visit thegraph.com. coincodex.com, binance.com